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    USA polls don't mean shit, either way. Here's why.

    Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Politics & Debate
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    • B Offline
      blablarg18
      last edited by blablarg18

      FYI, even Fox has long history of over-sample Dems.

      Again - if you know Dems will cheat big - if you know Dem real votes count for 1.2x or 1.5x extra - maybe it's just realism?

      Here, Fox shows Trump ahead, 51-43 - but it's among Independents alone.

      dbb2bfd5-6599-4771-bd5b-e1d4514480a9-GU-YAfDXwAAoFM0.jpg

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      • B Offline
        blablarg18
        last edited by blablarg18

        Somebody took "internals" for specific poll, NYT in Pennsylvania, and compared their numbers for 2020 vs. today.

        1 example where "internals" (sub headline details) show Trump strength.

        In 2024, Trump in PA runs way ahead of himself among non-Whites & young people, and, to less extent, even among women. Only 30-44 age group does care that Kamabla has necklace & cunt.

        You can still get headline result where Kamabla wins....if you overweight Dems.

        Again - USA election comes down to, whether Dems will cheat enough to justify their overweights in polls?

        573d2d1a-570d-4013-8b64-1767d362a13b-GU43jM6WwAAWR5h.png

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        • J Offline
          jaroonn @blablarg18
          last edited by

          @blablarg18 Fingering your pussy to Rudy Giuiliani porn?

          B 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
          • B Offline
            blablarg18 @jaroonn
            last edited by blablarg18

            ......Cracked Dry Pussy Retard @jaroonn said to mirror

            🤣

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            • B Offline
              blablarg18
              last edited by blablarg18

              More on USA polls overweight Dems, to fake Kamabla "lead"

              https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/wedpolling-shows-harris-leading-trump-industry-experts-see-skewed-samples

              “They're saying the Biden 2020 voters should be [weighted] four or five points higher [than they appeared in 2020 results]. It's ridiculous."

              But again - IF Dem cheating & fraud in 2024, can out-do Dem cheating & fraud of 2020 - Isn't it mere realism?

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              • B Offline
                blablarg18
                last edited by blablarg18

                "Kamala Harris is doing worse off in the polls than both Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton when they faced Donald Trump"

                https://thepostmillennial.com/kamala-is-worse-off-in-polls-than-biden-hillary-at-same-point-in-2020-2016-elections-real-clear-polling

                Kamabla has small lead. Smaller than Hillary's at this point. & Crashing favorability. Trump set to out-perform, again.

                Which comes back to my main point: USA polls really don't mean shit.

                When USA People "vote harder" for President Trump....... USA Regime "cheats harder"

                ☝ Remember that. Watch all polls with reserve.

                They're slightly interesting..... that's all.

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                • B Offline
                  blablarg18
                  last edited by blablarg18

                  Poll puts President Trump "up" 3 - 5 points. But again....

                  https://www.the-express.com/news/politics/147691/donald-trump-leads-battleground-states-poll

                  ...but again, USA polls don't mean shit.

                  Because

                  1. Regime steals elections

                  2. Polls are there to make Regime candidate look plausible enough, that Regime media can lie, when Regime steals elections

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                  • B Offline
                    blablarg18
                    last edited by

                    Satire. But let's HOPE some libs buy it.

                    cca5cda3-dead-408d-a422-4caa8a6dac2d-image.png

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                    • B Offline
                      blablarg18
                      last edited by blablarg18

                      JD explains "online panels".

                      video - https://x.com/i/status/1836531885935104167

                      "online" here might not mean Internet, but more that same, highly motivated people are always available / on panels.

                      As in, same motivated libs.

                      Why would lib media skew its polls like that?

                      • I say, to make Dem cheating look plausible

                      • but JD says, to suppress non-Dem turnout, "Oh it's no use, we lost already."

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                      • B Offline
                        blablarg18
                        last edited by blablarg18

                        "Democrats fear pollsters are undercounting Trump"

                        https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4891637-democratic-lawmakers-worry-pollsters/

                        Penny drops.

                        “Polling has really been seriously damaged since 2016. And that’s one of the truths, is that Trump is going to be tough in Pennsylvania, and that’s absolutely the truth,” Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) said when asked whether he’s worried pollsters may be undercounting Trump’s support in his home state.

                        Dems need to cheat.

                        Public / media polls - that WAY exaggerate libs - are there to cover Dem cheat, make cheat look halfway plausible.

                        Dems internal polls, show President Trump ahead.

                        What if GA, PA or AZ changes rules & Dems can't cheat enough?

                        Or what if Muslims counter-act Haitians & deliver MI to Trump?

                        Dems can't sleep.

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                        • B Offline
                          blablarg18
                          last edited by blablarg18

                          Example 10 million, where "internal polling" is different from public poll.

                          "MI Dem Senate Candidate Warns Internal Polling Shows Kamala ‘Underwater’ In State"

                          https://www.dailywire.com/news/mi-dem-senate-candidate-warns-internal-polling-shows-kamala-underwater-in-state

                          Kids, why would internal differ from public? Ever?

                          You know why.

                          Because public is faked, to give Dem better headlines.

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                          • B Offline
                            blablarg18
                            last edited by blablarg18

                            Reliable polls have Trump +6 on "not recalled" data.

                            What is "recalled" data? When they add in 2020 Dem cheat factor.

                            e488e6b6-86aa-4011-a6e5-851df970518d-image.png

                            It's all about 2024 Dem cheat factor..... will it be bigger? smaller? same?

                            In 2016, Dems cheated BUT not enough, so President Trump got through.

                            USA Regime thought, it's all good, their "Russia Russia Russia" hoax "insurance policy" will force Trump to resign, followed by, say, Pence-McCain dependent on Regime.

                            But it didnt turn out. So in 2020 they cheated bigger, enough to see, made USA worldwide joke.

                            In 2024 they turn to assassination. 2 attempts - that we know of. More to come.

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                            • B blablarg18 referenced this topic on
                            • B Offline
                              blablarg18
                              last edited by blablarg18

                              Scorecard below is probably self-interested, since Atlas made it.

                              Still, Atlas made it with.... you know.... -data-.

                              And for years, Rasmussen has been more accurate than the rest.

                              It makes sense, to see Rasmussen in Top 2 spot. & NYT down

                              d1933475-96b2-4f5e-8095-36a9db2a016f-image.png

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                              • B Offline
                                blablarg18
                                last edited by blablarg18

                                Plouffe admits, Kamabla was never ahead.

                                bead5d25-54b9-4283-813e-6dfb50863748-image.png

                                He admits public & "internal" polls are different.

                                But he still pretends that WHY, is mystery.

                                Smart people know WHY. (see earlier comments)

                                Kamabla lost, because "Late Night Ballot Dumps", of Dem 2020 cheat, did not show up for her.

                                Why "Late Night Ballot Dumps" did not show up for her, in 2024, is the interesting question.

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                                • L Offline
                                  lololulu19
                                  last edited by

                                  one relief is that 4 years from now.. we don't have to pay attention to this stupid polls.. and the so-called experts who said that Kam-bama would not only win, but win in a landslide have been discredited.

                                  On the departure front... looks like we might be rid of Degeneres, Deniro, Springstein, and maybe Oprah. It would be nice to be done with Streisand too. Reiner will never leave the mental hospital.

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                                  • B Offline
                                    blablarg18 @lololulu19
                                    last edited by blablarg18

                                    @lololulu19 Don't count on it.

                                    Even now, in another thread, someone says, Only believe the experts.

                                    Lib is a religion, and "discredited" is in eye of beholder.


                                    btw.... I wondered if you were joking about poor Rob.... but you're real:

                                    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/11/anti-trump-filmmaker-rob-reiner-has-checked-himself-into-a-facility-following-the-2024-election/

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                                    • B Offline
                                      blablarg18
                                      last edited by blablarg18

                                      "Gold standard" Iowa pollster lets slip, polls can be fake. J Ann Selzer

                                      video - https://x.com/i/status/1868144823909110057

                                      She denies wrongdoing, BUT, she lets out:

                                      the idea that I intentionally set up to deliver this [krazy-bad poll] when I've never done that before, I've had plenty of opportunities to do it.

                                      Opportunities for what, Ann?

                                      @zullu & @jaroonn cited her Iowa poll, in https://community.gaytor.rent/topic/66338/breaking-harris-has-overtaken-trump-in-michigan/

                                      She was 17 points off.

                                      Some coverage in November, claimed

                                      • she planned to retire
                                      • she took a large payout from some lib. Kamabla campaign? I forget

                                      Hypothetically, why might Kamabla pay her to do bad poll?

                                      1. if "Dem cheat" had showed up - ballot dumps, late at night, mysterious, 2020-style - then her poll would have been "correct" 🙄

                                      2. in any case, her poll gave Kamabla last-minute (but undeserved) boost of morale & headlines. Boost one side, suppress other side.


                                      here at 7:04, MSNBC admits she was 17 points off.

                                      https://x.com/i/status/1854226911247139255

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                                      • B Offline
                                        blablarg18
                                        last edited by blablarg18

                                        Trump sues Selzer. Says her GIGANTIC miss, “was no ‘miss’ but rather an attempt to influence the outcome of the 2024 presidential election” by projecting “a false narrative of inevitability” about Kamabla.

                                        https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/5051334-trump-lawsuit-pollster-selzer/

                                        Even if Trump loses case: If case makes pollsters think twice, makes pollsters be accurate, lets ordinary people know truth, makes ordinary people question sooner & louder why their side loses.............Democracy wins!!

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                                        • V Offline
                                          vmalar
                                          last edited by

                                          That's why you should put your trust on people that put money on their bet/voice. polymarket

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